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The Upshot
October 15, 2026

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WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS FROM UPSHOT FRIENDS
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The New York Times

Why Trump’s Diesel Deal With Putin Won’t Knock Down High Prices

President Trump’s deal with Russia will probably not lower diesel prices that have soared because of his war with Iran and Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.

By Aruni Soni
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The New York Times

One Debate, Two Realities

The Senate candidates in Michigan held a fiery debate. On social media, two vastly different impressions took hold.

By Stuart A. Thompson
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Ashley Wu/The New York Times

These Legislatures Could See Big Changes in November

Statehouses make health-care policy, guide education, and may redraw congressional districts ahead of 2028. With the stakes high, more than 6,100 legislators will be elected Nov. 3.

By David W. Chen and Ashley Wu
An illustration of a Social Security card with frayed edges and folded corners, set against a yellow background.

Illustrations by Peter Arkle

How American Retirees on Different Incomes Rely on Social Security

Social Security funds are on track to run short by 2032, which would mean a reduction in benefits. Here’s how four hypothetical households rely on the program in retirement.

By Tara Siegel Bernard

MORE ON THE MIDTERMS
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Latest Polls

Track all the polls from today, including the latest data on the 2026 midterm elections, governor’s races, President Trump’s approval rating and more.
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The New York Times

The Breathtaking Cost of the Midterms: $10 Billion and Counting on Ads

The campaign is set to be more expensive than the 2024 presidential election cycle, and has already exceeded the ad total booked by the N.F.L. last season.

By Theodore Schleifer
Elon Musk sitting during an event in Washington.

Demetrius Freeman for The New York Times

Inside Elon Musk’s $276 Million Midterm Rescue Mission for Republicans

The world’s richest person has quietly become by far the biggest known midterm donor, trying to save Republicans’ Senate majority with some of the largest donations in American political history.

By Theodore Schleifer
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President Trump’s Approval Rating: Latest Polls

Track the latest approval rating and polls on Americans’ approval of President Trump.

By Annie Daniel, Jon Huang, Ruth Igielnik, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Jonah Smith, Caroline Soler, Albert Sun and Rumsey Taylor

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